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[图书馆]EARTHQUAKE DYNAMICS AND THE PREDICTION OF STRONG GROUND [复制链接]

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离线wangjianping
 

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只看楼主 倒序阅读 使用道具 楼主  发表于: 2009-04-28
A large number of earthquakes have been modelled in detail using seismological, geological and lu.]R>w  
geodetic information. Several common traits have been found for earthquakes kinematics at =x<N+vjXY  
periods longer than 3s. At these frequencies, all large earthquakes (M>7) appear complex with 8'PZA,CW  
highly variable slip, and propagate with rupture velocities close to about 80 % of the shear wave 7 $y;-[E[  
speed. Starting from these kinematic inversions, it is possible to use numerical wave propagation `2Pa{g- .  
models in order to estimate the complete radiated field including near and far field effects. >.meecE?Q  
Radiation can be separated into two main components: a near field term responsible for the socalled  sS-dHa  
fling steps due to permanent, geodetic offsets; and the far field that produces pulse like NO!Qo:  
motions. Using seismological scaling relations it is possible to explain the main features of U3_${  
displacement spectra using classical seismological models at long periods. Seismic simulations }n^Rcz6HeO  
may now be extended to the frequencies up to a few Hz by means of dynamic rupture propagation, I}PI  
where rupture is simulated starting from the kinematic models. In this talk I will review the main ` -_!%m/  
results obtained so far and the new avenues of research that have been opened thanks to new near cx[^D,usf~  
field earthquake data and the ability to simulate increasingly complex and realistic seismic ]oP1c-GEk  
ruptures in a computer.
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